Featured

Portugal issues Brits gentle reminder

Portugal has announced an important passport requirement update for British holidaymakers planning to travel to the country this summer. Visitors from the UK arriving at airports including Lisbon, Porto, Faro and Funchal, were told earlier this month that they will be fast-tracked through check-ins, similar to EU citizens.

The move allowed Brits to use eGates to avoid passport control queues where visitors from many other non-EU countries have to wait in line to have their passports manually checked and stamped. It was widely welcomed as Portugal is one of the favourite holiday destinations for Brits.

Featured

Russian forces have attacked more than 40 towns in the eastern Donetsk and Luhansk region, Ukraine says

Russia has scrapped the upper age limit for contractual service in the military.

you’re just joining us, here’s what been happening so far:

  • Russia continues efforts to take full control of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in eastern Ukraine
  • Russia’s airborne forces have seen “heavy losses” due to “strategic mismanagement” during the invasion, the UK says in its latest military intelligence update
  • Ukraine has accused Russia of “blackmail” after Moscow offered to lift its blockade on Black Sea ports in exchange for lifting of some sanctions
  • British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss will address armed forces of Bosnia and Herzegovina and urge the UK’s Western allies to ensure Putin’s defeat in Ukraine
  • Germany warned of a fatigue setting in Europe over the Ukraine war. A Reuters report said Italy and Hungary had urged the EU to call explicitly for a ceasefire in Ukraine and peace talks with Russia
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree simplifying the procedure for residents of the Ukrainian regions of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson to get a Russian passport. Ukraine called the move illegal.
  • Meanwhile, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has ordered an end to visa-free travel for Russian citizens
Featured

Biggest UK rail strike in decades is set to go ahead 

The threat of a national rail strike has moved closer after union activists gave the go-ahead for co-ordinated action if a dispute over pay and jobs is not resolved.

Delegates at the annual conference of the Transport Salaried Staffs Association also called on the Government to address the cost-of-living crisis.

The union is consulting its representatives about a possible national ballot for industrial action at Network Rail and train operating companies in a dispute over pay, terms and conditions, and job security.

Passengers at King’s Cross Station in central London during the May Bank Holiday

TSSA general secretary Manuel Cortes warned: ‘If there is even the threat of compulsory redundancies, we will be balloting for strike action and trains will come to a halt.

The union is consulting its representatives about a possible national ballot for industrial action at Network Rail and train operating companies in a dispute over pay, terms and conditions, and job security

‘We will be balloting for strike action if there is the threat of compulsory redundancies on our railways, if we do not get pay increases that match the cost of living and if employers use the economic downturn as another opportunity to change our members’ terms and conditions without negotiations.

‘Make no mistake, trains will be coming to a halt in this country very soon if our members’ interests are not protected going forward.’

Members of the RMT rail union have voted 8:1 in favour of strike action over jobs, pay and conditions. The union says officials are discussing “a timetable for strike action from mid-June

Last week, it was reported that RMT was planning ‘Extinction Rebellion style’ strike action that would cause summer travel chaos in a row over jobs and pay – as a senior figure said the RMT union

is preparing for ‘civil disobedience’.

Featured

Ukraine latest as satellite images show Russian ships “stealing Ukrainian grain”; a report suggests Vladimir Putin’s eventual exit is being discussed in the Kremlin; and Hungary has declared a state of emergency to allow its leaders to respond quickly to challenges posed by the war.

Key points

Ukraine latest as satellite images show Russian ships “stealing Ukrainian grain”; a report suggests Vladimir Putin’s eventual exit is being discussed in the Kremlin; and Hungary has declared a state of emergency to allow its leaders to respond quickly to challenges posed by the war.

Featured

Gum disease isn’t just bad for your teeth

If you have gum disease, then pay close attention because…

Recent research reveals that gum disease isn’t just bad for your teeth – it can actually lead to more serious health conditions like:

+ Heart disease & stroke

+ Rheumatoid arthritis

+ Dementia

Featured

It’s monkey-pox season already!

“I can’t believe it’s monkey-pox season already and I haven’t even taken my Ukrainian decorations down.” Robin Monotti

Bill Gates’ prediction that the world would face an unexpected smallpox outbreak is miraculously unfolding. Should we be surprised?

I know I’m not. Here’s the money-quote that was delivered by Gates 6 months before the first case was recorded.

“It’ll take probably about a billion a year for a pandemic Task Force at the WHO level, which is doing the surveillance and actually doing what I call ‘germ games’ where you practice… You say, OK, what if a bioterrorist brought smallpox to 10 airports? You know, how would the world respond to that?” Bill GatesSky News, November 6, 2021

One can only marvel at Gates’ extraordinary powers of perception. He’s like some kind of Software Soothsayer able to divine the future from the entrails of animals. Is that it, or does he have a crystal ball tucked-away somewhere in the bowels of his Lake Washington mansion? Whatever it is, it’s trully astonishing. Here’s more from the World Socialist Web Site:

“An unprecedented outbreak of monkeypox virus has officially spread to 10 countries outside of Africa, with 107 confirmed or suspected cases reported as of this writing, in the United Kingdom (9 cases), Portugal (34), Spain (32), France (1), Belgium (2), Sweden (1), Italy (3), Canada (22), the United States (2), and Australia (1)

Much remains unknown about what is causing the outbreak, which is the most geographically dispersed and rapidly spreading monkeypox outbreak since the virus was first discovered in 1958. In the coming days and weeks, more data and scientific understanding will emerge, but already there is profound concern within the scientific community and among the public, which has found wide expression on social media.” (“Over 100 monkeypox infections detected in 10 countries as unprecedented outbreak spreads globally“, World Socialist Web Site)

Featured

Stocks not taking off (more like coming in for a landing)

  • The air transportation market is in the process of recovery; we expect air traffic to regain pre-COVID-19 level by 2024.
  • Due to problems with existing aircraft models, Boeing is incurring abnormal costs that are putting pressure on the company’s margins.
  • Delays in FAA approvals and aircraft deliveries put additional pressure on the company’s quotes.
  • Despite good upside in the medium term and a significant quotes decline in May, we change our recommendation on the stock from SELL to HOLD

The post-pandemic recovery of air travel and international tourism demand provides good earning opportunities for companies hit hard in 2020, and The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) is one of them. However, the broad economy is not the only thing to shape Boeing’s valuation. Despite the opportunities, the company is still not making money due to production line stoppages and delayed shipments.

In the previous article, we highlighted Boeing’s questionable short-term outlook, and our expectations of the stock’s performance have been borne out. After the recent collapse of Boeing’s Q1 2022 financials, Boeing’s quotes have dropped, and, according to our calculations, the stock is now trading at its fair levels.

Boeing stock is still far from the entry point due to several factors. The main issue is uncertainty about the 777x model, whose sales have been moved from 2023 to 2025. It is also possible that Boeing will start to attract debt or dilute the stock again because of the company’s unprofitability.

The air travel market keeps its recovery to pre-pandemic levels. Despite the COVID-19 outbreak in China, which had a significant impact on air travel in Q1 2022, we do not revise our outlook assuming full market recovery by 2024. Boeing is a direct beneficiary of this phenomenon – airlines will increase their CapEx programs and acquire aircraft into their fleets to meet growing demand, so as the broad airline market grows, Boeing could significantly improve its performance in Commercial Airplanes and Global Services segments.

Global air traffic
Featured

Evidence surfaces that Putin survived alleged assassination! Russians make slow advance westward supported by heavy artillery

Following the withdrawal from the north of Ukraine, Russia has refocused its efforts on taking control of the east and south of the country.

The UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) says Russia has likely suffered a similar death toll in the first three months of its Ukraine operation, to that experienced by the Soviet Union during its nine year war in Afghanistan.

It says a combination of factors have led to the high number of casualties, including poor tactics and limited air cover.

Slow Russian advances continues in east

Russian officials have said its forces are fighting for the “complete liberation” of the Donbas, which broadly refers to Ukraine’s eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk, where Russian-backed separatists held significant territory before the invasion.

The focus of Russian forces in recent weeks has been around the city of Izyum and in the east towards Severodonetsk.

Russian troops have taken control of Rubizhne and Popasna as they move to surround their target of Severodonetsk.

To the north, however, Ukrainian forces have now pushed the majority of Russian forces away from Kharkiv, the country’s second largest city.

The ISW (Institute of War) reports that Russian troops withdrawn from around Kharkiv are now being redeployed to the Donetsk region.

_____________

(Ed-I don’t normally write like this) But so much for the adage Семь дней до реки Рейн», Sem’ dney do reki Reyn ??A top-secret military simulation exercise developed in 1979 by the Warsaw Pact. Depicted the Soviet bloc’s vision of a seven-day nuclear war.

Many had to live under the fear and threat that terrorised us all in the Nineteen seventies.

Now the Russians experience ordeal and mutilation getting across Ukraine and have lost a large number of men and armoured vehicles, tanks and aircraft etc?

Unless there is another factor that we don’t yet know such as the level of sophistication of western supplied arms,”advisors” etc.

Morale inside the Russian army of conscripts,morale inside the Russian nation possibly (the civilian Russian population may have no stomache for a territorial-expansionist fight against a fellow Slav nation.)

Who knows ?It’s hundreds of miles away from England,thousands of miles from America,we are kept pretty much in the dark by drip feed threadbare reporting.

Ukraine’s First Lady on Monday warned a WHO assembly that the impacts of Russia’s war of reclamation upon this eastern territory and the subsequent impact upon the troops and civilians mental health might be felt for decades.

Putin survives Assassination

Putin escaped assassination attempt – claim

An attempt was made to assassinate Russian President Vladimir Putin, a top Ukrainian security official has claimed in an interview with news outlet Ukrayinska Pravda.

In an interview with Pravda, Kyrylo Budanov, the head of the chief intelligence directorate at Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence,  said the assassination attempt was made after the Kremlin’s invasion in February.

He went on to say the Russian leader was attacked by representatives from the Caucasus region, which sits between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea.

However, no proof has been presented so far – and Sky News has not been able to verify the claim.

Mr Budanov told the Ukrainian paper: “There was an attempt to assassinate Putin. He was even attacked, it is said, by representatives of the Caucasus, not so long ago. 

“This is non-public information. It was an absolutely unsuccessful attempt, but it really happened. It was about two months ago.

“I repeat, this attempt was unsuccessful. There was no publicity about this event, but it did take place.” (?????)

Featured

Dave’s comment sent into us

Your precious Corrupt Corporate mainstream media protects all pedophiles & human traffickers that’s why they will never report the truth unless they are absolutely going to lose their licenses to broadcast period!”

The picture isn’t Dave it’s Lord of the Satans

Zbigniew Brzezinsk

________

La mayoría de los bichos raros son súper ricos o están en posiciones muy altas (protegidas). Necesitamos compilar listas y ARRESTAR los a todos.

Featured

Henry Kissinger asks Ukraine to cede land to Russia to end war

Kissinger believes President Vladimir Putin miscalculated the international situation and Russia’s own capabilities when he launched the invasion of Ukraine. He will have to end the war when it effectively kills off any chance of Russia remaining a great power in the future, the former secretary of state predicts.

Kissinger, who served under the administrations of Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford in the 1970s, told a Financial Times event over the weekend that he fears the conflict could veer into the nuclear realm.

Featured

Salient subjects

The Royal College of Speech and Language Therapists (RCSLT) say they are “very worried” about the number of toddlers in the UK that are struggling with communication because of repeated lockdowns.

Therapists and charities have expressed fears about a sharp decline in speech and motor skills, with referrals for language therapy doubling. Speech and language therapy sessions are provided to children (and adults) to help them communicate.

Unable to Keep Up

Kamini Gadhok, the chief executive of the RCSLT, told the Telegraph that its members were “very worried” about the number of toddlers struggling with communication and that its member therapists are unable to keep up with demand.

“The bigger the gap by the time the child is five, the more difficult it is to close,” she said. Gadhok warned that without early intervention, those children are far more likely to suffer emotional and behavioural problems.

Assessments showed that one in five children are not meeting expected standards by the age of two-and-a-half, with thousands likely to need help such as speech and language therapy.

In The Conversation, Yvonne Wren, founder and director of ChildSpeech wrote that masks “obscure facial expression, which contributes to how we understand the meaning behind the words we hear. When this is taken away, not only is the potential for misunderstanding (and mislearning) increased but there can also be an impact on children’s development of social and emotional skills.”

Experience the best way to read The Epoch Times online. Try our free app for a limited time.

According to Wren, not only was there a reduction in children’s exposure to new vocabulary, but there was much less interaction with teachers, friends, and family, and these are some of the ways that lockdown affected children’s speech.

Beautiful Baby Girl Surrounded By Bluebells

“Our members tell us that growing lists and waiting times for speech and language therapy are dramatically impacting on their ability to provide the support which children need for the best start in life,” said Gadhok.

Jane Harris Chief Executive of I CAN, UK’s leading children’s communication charity told The Epoch Times by email that “it is not surprising that COVID lockdowns left toddlers unable to speak or play properly.”

“There has been a sharp rise in child development issues in the wake of COVID. Our research suggests that 1.5 million children in the UK are struggling to learn to speak and understand language,” she said.

(How the New World Order f*cked your kids up)

Harris said that 62 percent of primary school teachers and 60 percent of secondary school teachers it had surveyed were worried that children currently behind will not be able to catch up.

“Ongoing cuts to services post pandemic only serve to dramatically reduce the access to speech and language therapy provision, meaning that children and their families cannot get the right help at the right time,” she added.

“The new Integrated Care Boards must plan locally with education partners to get speech and language support to children that need it. Low-cost interventions delivered by teaching assistants can help, alongside more specialist support from Speech and Language Therapists,” said Harris.

Worrying Picture

Alison Morton, the executive director of the Institute of Health Visiting told the Telegraph that the latest data was a “worrying picture” and there was a backlog of children who needed support.

“The latest national child development data highlight a worrying picture with fewer children at or above the expected level of development at two to two-and-a-half years. While the majority of children are developing as expected, a significant and growing minority are not,” she said.

Featured

Britain’s very good at “Titanic stories” here is the splendid HMS Hood (years in the planning/ years in the making,but alas sunk in an 8 minute duel 24 May 1941)

Hood was above all the proud steel ambassador of the whole Royal Navy and of the country. She spent many years showing the Union jack in every harbour from 1921 to 1941. She was invincible in the mind of the average citizens.

The aura of this symbol of a ship however, could not mask a fundamentally outdated concept. The HMS Hood made that clear by paying the ultimate price, in a painful demonstration of the concept inanuity. This legendary artillery duel of the two the world’s most powerful warships opposed Hood and Winston Churchill’s own nightmare, KMS Bismarck.

https://naval-encyclopedia.com/ww2/uk/hms-hood.php/ww1/prehistoric-boats.php

But the Bismarck was ill fated too

last battle of the German battleship Bismarck took place in the Atlantic Ocean approximately 300 nautical miles (560 km; 350 mi) west of Brest, France, on 26–27 May 1941 (72 hours after HMS Hood)between the German battleship Bismarck and naval and air elements of the British Royal Navy. Although it was a decisive action between capital ships, it has no generally accepted name

Featured

Your Enemy identified

After weeks of indicating that perhaps the Bird Flu hoax was going to be recycled again as a new “pandemic” to instill fear and continue the state of “emergency” the entire country has been under since 2020, that has resulted in $trillions given over to Big Pharma for their products, mainly the COVID-19 “vaccines,” it appears now that plans are in place to actually use the “monkeypox” as the new “pandemic” to further the goals of the Globalists to create new vaccines and control the population.

The high level people who ought to know better gaming to kill you and your love ones

Big Pharmaceutical giants

Astra zeneca

Pfizer

Moderns

Featured

Russia may bolster troops on its border with Finland after Turkey blocked its bid to join NATO, an expert has warned.

PRIVACY

EXCLUSIVE: Russia may put troops on Finnish border after Turkey blocks NATO bid, expert warns

International relations expert Dr Samuel Ramani says Turkey’s move to block the Nordic nations from joining NATO may act as fuel for Russia President Vladimir Putin’s hatred of the alliance

https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/D5xmPhjl-y9oz730c.html?customAdData=dataAdUnit:/5293/mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/;desc_url:https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/russia-bolster-troops-finnish-border-27011301;oid:27011301;token:undefined;videoTitle:UnVzc2lhOiBQdXRpbiBzYXlzIGV4cGFuc2lvbiBvZiBOQVRPIGlzIGEgJ3Byb2JsZW0n;safetyMeta:3;tags:russia-ukraine-war,ukraine,turkey,recep-tayyip-erdogan,vladimir-putin;mantis:Default-GREEN%2CTesco-RED%2CCOVID19-GREEN%2CCOVIDSafe-GREEN%2CJandJ-GREEN%2CGambling-GREEN%2CNestl%C3%A9-RED%2CNestl%C3%A9Cereals-RED%2CGovernment-RED%2CMagna-GREEN%2CGovtdv-RED%2COmnicomdv-RED%2CLNERdv-RED%2CVW-RED%2CSEAT-GREEN%2CNestleTopics-RED%2COmnicomIAS-RED%2CUber-AMBER%2CHeineken-RED%2CAvanti-GREEN%2CDiageo-RED%2CTSB-GREEN%2CCamelot_aden-GREEN%2CFacebook_aden-RED%2CAmazonBF_aden-GREEN%2CShelter_aden-GREEN%2CFireBS_aden-GREEN%2CGroupM_kw-RED%2CAerLingus_kw-RED%2Ccelebrity_news_aden-GREEN%2CTUI_aden-GREEN%2CGovtCCS_aden-RED%2CGroupM_aden-RED%2Cukraine_aden-RED%2Cwar_aden-GREEN%2CRedOg-GREEN%2CDiageoGlobal-RED%2CAgencyMasterBS-RED%2Csentiment-negative%2Cjoy-low%2Cfear-low%2Canger-low%2Cdisgust-low%2Csadness-medium;mantisContext:law_govt_politics%2Carmed_forces%2Cpolitics%2Cgovernment%2Cheads_of_state%2Cparliament%2Cpolitics_bespoke;iabContext:386&service=ampVideo&region=nationals&publication=mirror&ga=UA-110513849-1#amp=1

  • By Rachel Hagan
  • 16:35, 19 May 2022UPDATED16:39, 19 May 2022

Russia may bolster troops on its border with Finland after Turkey blocked its bid to join NATO, an expert has warned.

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan blocking Sweden and Finland from joining the alliance may lead to Russian President Vladimir Putin building up troops on the border.https://0726122768352d132e0aec789877badb.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html?n=0

In a shock move, President Erdogan confirmed his decision to block Finland and Sweden’s decision to join NATO.

He said Sweden should not expect Turkey to approve its bid without returning people it deems terrorists harboured by the two countries – namely the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militant group.https://0726122768352d132e0aec789877badb.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html?n=0

Dr Samuel Ramani, an international relations expert at Oxford University and Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, has said that Russia is probably “pretty happy” with Turkey.

“I need some sticks of gelegnite about this big”
Featured

Voyager 1 is having the “Hal 9000 experience” in deep space

Voyager 1’s body is about the size of a subcompact car, though the boom for its magnetometer instrument extends 42.7 feet (13 meters).
— At launch, the probe weighed 1,797 pounds (815 kilograms). Its mass has decreased a bit over time as the probe has burned its fuel.
— It launched on Sept. 5, 1977, to study the Jupiter and Saturn systems in depth. Voyager 1 flew by Jupiter on March 5, 1979 and cruised past Saturn on Nov. 12, 1980.
Voyager 1 entered interstellar space on Aug. 25, 2012, becoming the first human-made object ever to do so.
As of January 2022, Voyager 1 is about 14.5 billion miles (23.3 billion kilometers) from Earth. That’s roughly 156 times the distance from our planet to the sun. 

Featured

Ukraine

Mariupol defenders trapped in the Azovstal Steel Plant likely surrendered after Ukrainian officials negotiated evacuation measures with the Kremlin. Russian forces began evacuating wounded Ukrainian forces to Russian-occupied settlements in Donetsk Oblast on May 16 after the Russian Defense Ministry proposed the agreement earlier in the day. Ukrainian officials said that they will seek to return the Mariupol defenders to Ukraine in a prisoner exchange and continue to undertake appropriate measures to rescue all Ukrainian servicemen from Azovstal.

Featured

The 96-year-old’s dwindling appearances, plus a bout of Covid earlier this year, have fuelled concerns for her health

Queen decides to abdicate?
Queen Elizabeth II, who has become the first British monarch to reign for seventy years, is being asked to abdicate throne in favour of her eldest son Prince Charles amid health worries.

The 96-year-old’s dwindling appearances, plus a bout of Covid earlier this year, have fuelled concerns for her health in her record-breaking 70th year on the throne.

There have been speculations and rumours for last few months that the longest-reigning monarch could soon be putting her feet up, and military bigwigs are planning for Prince Charles’ coronation.

Previously, a media outlet, citing source claimed that “sensitive” planning for Prince Charles’ coronation is underway. “We are shaping a military event that will need approval from the palace nearer the time,” it added.

The queen’s absence from the state opening of Parliament this week — owing to what Buckingham Palace gently referred to as “mobility problems” — is just the latest high-profile absence of the once-unstoppable queen.

Royal expert Daniella Elser has also asked the Queen to make an “unthinkable” move and abdicate in order to let Prince Charles take the throne,” adding that “she should retire as “she can no longer physically do” her job.

Featured

Russia doubles down on pesky Finnish NATO membership

Vladimir Putin has said Russia has no issue with Finland and Sweden, but warned Moscow would react to the expansion of military infrastructure on their territories as both countries move closer to joining NATO.

Speaking in Moscow at a summit of the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), he said Russia must look closely at what he described as the US-led military alliance’s plans to increase its global influence.

Ukraine news live: Man recounts being ‘buried alive’ by Putin’s forces

Finland and Sweden have confirmed they will apply to join NATO despite warnings from Russia that it would be a “mistake” to do so.

Finland shares an 810-mile (1,300km) land border with Russia and Sweden a maritime border.

Both countries have for decades considered that joining NATO would represent an unnecessary provocation of Moscow.

Featured

Bitcoin takes a hit

Bitcoin slumped below $27,000 Thursday for the first time in over 16 months, as cryptocurrency markets extended their losses amid fears over rising inflation and the collapse of a controversial stablecoin project.

San Diego, California, Nov 16th 2015: The bit coin was invented by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 as a digital form of money but no one truly knows who Satoshi Nakamoto is. Transactions are done through peer to peer networks without the need of a bank making it the first decentralized digital currency. This is a close up photo of several gold plated bitcoins together symbolizing the bit coin market, modern technology, finance, internet, trading, etc.

The price of bitcoin plunged as low as $26,595.52 Thursday morning, according to Bitstamp data.5 days ago

https://www.nbcnews.com › crypto

Bitcoin plunges below $27,000, erases 2021 gains as crypto sell …

Featured

Ost Krieg (dritte Teil) Spring ’22

Southern Axis (Objective: Defend Kherson against Ukrainian counterattacks)

Russian forces continued to fortify their positions in southern Ukraine and did not conduct active offensive operations on May 15. The Zaporizhia Military Administration reported that Russian forces dug trenches in southern Melitopol along the Molochna River and in villages 30 km south of the city.[31] ISW previously reported that Russian forces reportedly also created trenches 35 km east of the Kherson Oblast border.[32] The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian forces are also creating reinforced concrete structures in Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts.[33] Russian trenches and concrete shelters are indicators that Russian forces seek to establish and defend permanent control over the occupied areas. Russian forces are also attempting to restart operations at an auto parts plant in Zaporizhia Oblast in an effort to start military production in the region.

Knocked about
Russians appear really determined (through all their problems and setbacks) to reach Odessa and after that MOLDOVA
shipyards deserted

Immediate Items to Watch

  • Russian forces will likely complete their withdrawal from the vicinity of Kharkiv City but will likely attempt to hold a line west of Vovchansk to defend their GLOCs from Belgorod to Izyum. It is unclear if they will succeed.
  • The Russians will continue efforts to encircle Severodonetsk and Lysychansk at least from the south, possibly by focusing on cutting off the last highway connecting Severodonetsk and Lysychansk with the rest of Ukraine.
  • A Ukrainian counteroffensive around Izyum will likely begin soon.
  • The Battle of Mariupol will, apparently and surprisingly, continue.
Featured

Russians (sensibly) change tactics again

Russian forces have likely abandoned the objective of completing a large-scale encirclement of Ukrainian units from Donetsk City to Izyum in favor of completing the seizure of Luhansk Oblast. Luhansk Oblast Administration Head Serhiy Haidai said that the Russian military command likely understands that it will not be able to seize Donetsk Oblast but believes that it has the capacity to reach the administrative borders of Luhansk Oblast. His observations are generally consistent with our analysis. The Russian military command will likely prioritize the Battle of Severodonetsk going forward, with some efforts dedicated to disrupting Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in eastern Donetsk Oblast. Russian forces are continuing a coordinated effort to seize Severodonetsk from the north and the south, which would result in a shallower encirclement of Ukrainian troops than originally expected. The failed Russian attempts to cross the Siverskyi Donets River near Kreminna may shift Russian encirclement operations further east, closer to Severodonetsk via Rubizhne, rather than conducting a wider encirclement along multiple axes. Russian forces have also likely been scaling down advances to Slovyansk from Izyum, possibly due to the slow grinding pace of invasion.

Russian forces have likely run out of combat-ready reservists, forcing the Russian military command to amalgamate soldiers from many different elements, including private military companies and proxy militias, into ostensibly regular army units and naval infantry. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that approximately 2,500 Russian reservists are training in Belgorod, Voronezh, and Rostov oblasts to reinforce Russian offensive operations in Ukraine. That number of reservists is unlikely to generate enough force to replenish Russian units that have reportedly lost up to 20 percent of staffing in some areas—to say nothing of the battalion tactical group that was largely destroyed recently while attempting to cross the Siverskyi Donets River. The Ukrainian Military Intelligence Directorate stated that Russian forces are conducting covert mobilization and creating new units with newly mobilized personnel who likely have insufficient training to be effective and little motivation to fight. Russian forces also deployed new conscripts from occupied settlements in Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts to maintain an offensive around Kharkiv City, likely due to the lack of Russian reserves.

Key Takeaways

  • Russian forces will likely prioritize winning the Battle of Severodonetsk over reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk Oblast.
  • Russian forces did not advance in the Slovyansk direction due to unsuccessful offensive operations in the Izyum area. Ukrainian aviation continues to operate north and east of Izyum.
  • Russian forces continued to launch artillery, air, and naval assaults on the Azovstal Steel Plant, but Mariupol defenders maintained their positions.
  • Russian forces are fortifying occupied settlements along the southern axis, indicative of Russian objectives for permanent control of the area.
Featured

People’s Republic of China just despatched a huge destroyer into the South China sea,intent unknown

The PLA Navy’s Lhasa is seen as the second most powerful destroyer in the world after the USS Zumwalt.(Maybe a bit like the Japanese monster ‘Yamato’ , Germany’s ‘Bismark’ or even England’s ‘Prince of Wales’)

The ‘high-low’ mix drill with much smaller corvettes may have aimed to simulate encounters with weaker rivals in the East and South China seas, analyst says

The Chinese navy’s largest destroyer led three corvettes in a joint services exercise in the Yellow Sea, a new “high-low mix” drill that experts say was aimed at simulating military confrontations with weaker regional counterparts.

The Lhasa, a Type 055 stealth-guided missile destroyer and the largest and most advanced warship of its kind in the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), conducted a series of assessment drills with three Type 056A corvettes in the Yellow Sea recently, state broadcaster CCTV reported on Sunday.

They carried out three days of air-defence, anti-ship and anti-submarine exercises, the report said. Some other types of surface warships, submarines, early-warning aircraft and helicopters also took part in the drill to simulate combat conditions

A Z-9 ship-borne combat helicopter takes part in the recent exercise. Photo: WeiboA Z-9 ship-borne combat helicopter takes part in the recent exercise.

Lhasa, declared combat ready just in January, is the PLA Navy’s second Type 055 warship. With displacement of 12,000 tonnes, it is regarded as the second most powerful destroyer in the world .

Featured

UK and US Governments Are Primary Obstacles to Peace Negotiations: Ukrainian News Outlet

Get on it !!!!

Kick out the creeps brothers and sisters!

aaw hello saucy !
Do not be haughty, but associate with the lowly. Never be wise in your own sight. Repay no one evil for evil, but give thought to do what is honorable in the sight of all. If possible, so far as it depends on you, live peaceably with all.”

After having proceeded haphazardly for a long time, swept along by the movement of opposing factions, the representatives of the xxxx people have finally demonstrated a character and a government. A sudden change in the nation’s fortune announced globally -the regeneration that had been effected in the national representation. But, up to the very moment when I am speaking, it must be agreed that we have been guided, amid such stormy circumstances, by the love of good and by the awareness of our country’s needs rather than by an exact theory and by precise rules of conduct, which we did not have even leisure enough to lay out. . . .

What is the goal toward which we are heading? The peaceful enjoyment of liberty and equality; the reign of that eternal justice whose laws have been inscribed, not in marble and stone, but in the hearts of all men, even in that of the slave who forgets them and in that of the tyrant who denies them.

We seek an order of things in which all the base and cruel passions are enchained, all the beneficent and generous passions are awakened by the laws; where ambition becomes the desire to merit glory and to serve our country; where distinctions are born only of equality itself; where the citizen is subject to the magistrate, the magistrate to the people, and the people to justice; where our country assures the well-being of each individual, and where each individual proudly enjoys our country’s prosperity and glory; where every soul grows greater through the continual flow of republican sentiments, and by the need of deserving the esteem of a great people; where the arts are the adornments of the liberty which ennobles them and commerce the source of public wealth rather than solely the monstrous opulence of a few families.

In our land we want to substitute morality for egotism, integrity for formal codes of honor, principles for customs, a sense of duty for one of mere propriety, the rule of reason for the tyranny of fashion, scorn of vice for scorn of the unlucky; self-respect for insolence, grandeur of soul for vanity, love of glory for the love of money, good people in place of good society. We wish to substitute merit for intrigue, genius for wit, truth for glamor, the charm of happiness for sensuous boredom,”

Who said that, when,where and why????

Featured

Has the COVID Jab Kill More People Than It Saves?

According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-19

STORY AT-A-GLANCE

  • According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-19. Deaths from heart disease, high blood pressure, dementia and many other illnesses rose during that time
  • Across the world, death rates have also risen in tandem with COVID shot administration, with the most-jabbed areas surpassing the least-jabbed in terms of excess mortality and COVID-related deaths
  • According to Walgreens data, during the week of April 19 through 25, 2022, 13% of unvaccinated persons tested positive for COVID. Of those who received two doses five months or more ago, 23.1% tested positive, and of those who received a third dose five months or more ago, the positive rate was 26.3%. So, after the first booster shot (the third dose), people are at greatest risk of testing positive for COVID
  • U.K. government data show the all-cause mortality rate is between 100% and 300% greater among people who got their first COVID shot 21 days or more ago. The risk for all-cause death is also significantly elevated among those who got their second dose at least six months ago, and mildly elevated among those who got their third dose less than 21 days ago. As of January 2022, all who got one or more doses at least 21 days ago were dying at significantly elevated rates
  • Other data also show that COVID mortality rates are far higher in areas with high vaccination rates, and risk-benefit analyses reveal the jabs do more harm than good in most age groups

According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data,1 more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-19.

Deaths from heart diseasehigh blood pressuredementia and many other illnesses rose during that time.2 “We’ve never seen anything like it,” Robert Anderson, CDC’s head of mortality statistics, told The Washington Post in mid-February 2022.3

According to University of Warwick researchers, “the scale of excess non-COVID deaths is large enough for it to be seen as its own pandemic.”4 A number of explanations have been offered, including the fact that lockdowns and other COVID restrictions discouraged or prevented people from seeking care. But another, less discussed factor may also be at play.

Across the world, death rates have risen in tandem with COVID shot administration, with the most-jabbed areas surpassing the least-jabbed in terms of excess mortality and COVID-related deaths. This flies in the face of official claims that the shots prevent severe COVID infection and lower your risk of death, be it from COVID or all causes.5

Boosted? You’re Now at Highest Risk of COVID

Ever since the announcement that the COVID “vaccines” would be using novel mRNA gene transfer technology, I and many others have warned that this appears to be a very bad idea.

Numerous potential mechanisms for harm have been identified and detailed in previous articles, and we’re now seeing some of our worst fears come to bear. “Fully vaccinated” individuals are both more likely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 and more likely to die, whether from COVID or some other cause.

As reported by investigative journalist Jeffrey Jaxen in the April 22, 2022, Highwire video above, data from Walgreens’ COVID-19 tracker6 reveal that COVID-jabbed individuals are testing positive for COVID at higher rates than the unjabbed. What’s more, people who got their last shot five months or more ago have the highest risk.

As you can see in the screenshot below, during the week of April 19 through 25, 2022, 13% of unvaccinated tested positive for COVID (with Omicron being the predominant variant). (The data reviewed by Jaxen are from the week of April 10 through 16.)

Of those who received two doses five months or more ago, 23.1% tested positive, and of those who received a third dose five months or more ago, the positive rate was 26.3%. So, after the first booster shot (the third dose), people are at greatest risk of testing positive for COVID.

A deeper dive into the data7 reveals that two doses appear to have been protective for a short while

deeper dive into the data7 reveals that two doses appear to have been protective for a short while, but after five months, it becomes net harmful. The group faring worst of all is the 12 to 17 cohort, where no one with one dose tested positive, but after the second dose, cases suddenly appear, and get higher still after five months. After the third dose, positive cases drop a bit, but then shoot up higher than ever after five months.8

Deaths by Vaccination Status in the UK

Data sets from the U.K. government reveal an equally disturbing trend. The raw data from the Office for National Statistics9 is difficult to interpret, so Jaxen had data analysts create a bar graph to better illustrate what the data actually tell us. A screenshot from Jaxen’s report is below.

Bars going upward are a good thing, as it indicates the risk for all-cause mortality based on vaccination status is either normal or reduced. Bars that dip below zero percent are indicative of increased all-cause mortality, based on vaccination status.

As you can see, the all-cause mortality rate is between 100% and 300% greater among people who got their first dose 21 days or more ago. The risk for all-cause death is also significantly elevated among those who got their second dose at least six months ago, and mildly elevated among those who got their third dose less than 21 days ago. As of January 2022, all who got one or more doses at least 21 days ago were dying at significantly elevated rates.

Everywhere we look, we find trends showing the COVID shots are resulting in higher death rates.so to conclude,

According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-

And if you get sick and depressed of covid 29 on bbc1 you can find the Russian war & Ukraine on ITV 1 If you are bold enough

Featured

Putin joke by ghost girl

Putin dies and goes to hell, but after a while, he is given a day off for good behavior.

So he goes to Moscow, enters a bar, orders a drink, and asks the bartender:

-Is Crimea ours?

-Yes, it is.

-And the Donbas?

-Also ours.

-And Kyiv?

-We got that too.

Satisfied, Putin drinks, and asks:

-Thanks, how much do I owe you?

-5 euros.

Featured

Strange thinking…but possibly true

Kremlin’s antisemitism may drive Israel away from its current neutral position on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov bizarrely claimed on May 2 that Hitler, like Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, was Jewish, and that “the most ardent antisemites are usually Jews.”

82] Hitler was not Jewish. Israel’s foreign ministry summoned the Russian ambassador on May 2 to condemn Lavrov’s comments.[83] The Russian Foreign Ministry accused Israel on May 3 of supporting the “neo-Nazi” regime in Kyiv.

 Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed on May 4 that Israeli mercenaries are fighting alongside the far-right Azov Battalion in Ukraine and that Israel has long ignored Ukrainian neo-Nazism.

[85] The diplomatic spat may put political pressure on Israel to more directly oppose Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Israel has so far attempted to frame itself as a mediator in the conflict. .

At least one pro-Kremlin media outlet amplified experts who refuted the often-debunked claim that Hitler had Jewish ancestry but justified Lavrov’s claims as well-intentioned, likely in an attempt to mend the Russo-Israeli rift.

If that’s a “well intentioned comment” from a supremely capable (almost faultless) diplomat such as Sergei Lavrov I would hate to hear a spiteful one.

The more you thought you had finally understood the less it seems you did !
Featured

“親愛的從未經歷過戰爭的年輕人

“親愛的從未經歷過戰爭的年輕人,

“戰爭是秘密開始的。如果你感覺到它的到來,可能為時已晚。

在日本憲法中,您會找到第 9 條,即國際和平條款。在過去的 72 年裡,我們沒有在戰爭背景下致殘或被一個人致殘。我們作為一個和平的國家而繁榮。

日本是唯一經歷過核攻擊的國家。我們必須更加緊迫地斷言,核武器不能與人類共存。

恐怕現任政府正在慢慢將我們的國家引向戰爭。 78歲的成熟,
我自己承擔起反對核擴散的言論。現在不是袖手旁觀的時候。

普通公民始終是戰爭的主要受害者。親愛的年輕人,他們從未經歷過戰爭的恐怖——我擔心你們中的一些人可能會認為這種來之不易的和平是理所當然的。

我祈禱世界和平。



Featured

что это приближается, может быть слишком поздно.

«Дорогие молодые люди, никогда не переживавшие войны,

«Войны начинаются тайно. Если вы почувствуете, что это приближается, может быть слишком поздно.

В Конституции Японии вы найдете статью 9, положение о международном мире. За последние 72 года мы не покалечили и не были покалечены ни одним человеком в условиях войны. Мы процветали как миролюбивая нация.

Япония — единственная страна, подвергшаяся ядерной атаке. Мы должны с гораздо большей настойчивостью заявить, что ядерное оружие не может сосуществовать с человечеством.

Боюсь, нынешняя администрация медленно ведет нашу страну к войне. В зрелом возрасте 78 лет,
Я взял на себя смелость выступить против распространения ядерного оружия. Сейчас не время сидеть сложа руки.

Обычные граждане всегда являются главными жертвами войны. Дорогие молодые люди, никогда не переживавшие ужасов войны, я боюсь, что некоторые из вас могут принять этот с трудом заработанный мир как должное.

Я молюсь за мир во всем мире.
Featured

Ist es vielleicht zu spät?

„Liebe Jugendliche, die noch nie Krieg erlebt haben,

„Kriege beginnen im Verborgenen. Wenn Sie es kommen spüren, ist es vielleicht zu spät.“

In der japanischen Verfassung finden Sie Artikel 9, die internationale Friedensklausel. In den letzten 72 Jahren sind wir im Zusammenhang mit Kriegen von keinem einzigen Menschen verstümmelt worden oder verstümmelt worden. Wir haben uns als friedliche Nation entwickelt.

Japan ist die einzige Nation, die einen Atomangriff erlebt hat. Wir müssen mit viel größerer Dringlichkeit feststellen, dass Atomwaffen nicht mit der Menschheit koexistieren können.

Ich fürchte, die derzeitige Regierung führt unsere Nation langsam in den Krieg. Im reifen Alter von 78 Jahren
Ich habe es mir zur Aufgabe gemacht, mich gegen die Verbreitung von Atomwaffen auszusprechen. Jetzt ist nicht die Zeit, tatenlos zuzusehen.

Normale Bürger sind immer die Hauptopfer des Krieges. Liebe junge Menschen, die die Schrecken des Krieges noch nie erlebt haben – ich fürchte, dass einige von Ihnen diesen hart erkämpften Frieden für selbstverständlich halten.

Ich bete für den Weltfrieden
Featured

Hersey (author of Hiroshima) despaired when he heard Truman’s Hiroshima announcement on the radio: He understood the ominous implications for humanity. At the same time, he felt relieved. The bombing, he guessed, would end the war; one usesuch hit would prove to be plenty. He was outraged therefore when three days later the United States nuked Nagasaki


“Dear young people who have never experienced war,

‘Wars begin covertly. If you sense it coming, it may be too late.’

Within the Japanese Constitution you will find Article 9, the international peace clause. For the past 72 years, we have not maimed or been maimed by a single human being in the context of war. We have flourished as a peaceful nation.

Japan is the only nation that has experienced a nuclear attack. We must assert, with far more urgency, that nuclear weapons cannot coexist with mankind.

The current administration is slowly leading our nation to war, I’m afraid. At the ripe age of 78,
I have taken it upon myself to speak out against nuclear proliferation. Now is not the time to stand idly by.

Average citizens are the primary victims of war, always. Dear young people who have never experienced the horrors of war – I fear that some of you may be taking this hard-earned peace for granted.

I pray for world peace. Furthermore, I pray that not a single Japanese citizen falls victim to the clutches of war, ever again. I pray, with all of my heart.

TESTIMONY

“‘Don’t go to school today,’ my mother said. ‘Why?’ my sister asked.

‘Just don’t.’

Air raid alarms went off regularly back then. On August 9, however, there were no air raid alarms. It was an unusually quiet summer morning, with clear blue skies as far as the eye can see. It was on this peculiar day that my mother insisted that my older sister skip school. She said she had a ‘bad feeling.’ This had never happened before.

United States detonated two atomic bombs over the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki on 6 and 9 August 1945, respectively. The two bombings killed between 129,000 and 226,000 people, most of whom were civilians, and remain the only use of nuclear weapons in armed conflict.

_______

You are only given One life, So cherish this moment Cherish this day, Be kind to others, Be kind to yourself”

TESTIMONY

“I was three years old at the time of the bombing. I don’t remember much, but I do recall that my surroundings turned blindingly white, like a million camera flashes going off at once.

Then, pitch darkness.

I was buried alive under the house, I’ve been told. When my uncle finally found me and pulled my tiny three year old body out from under the debris, I was unconscious. My face was misshapen. He was certain that I was dead.

Thankfully, I survived.

_____

Featured

Important update

May 3, 6:45 pm ET

Ukrainian officials reported with increasing confidence that the Kremlin will announce mobilization on May 9. Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate Chief Kyrylo Budanov said on May 2 that the Kremlin has begun to prepare mobilization processes and personnel ahead of the expected May 9 announcement and has already carried out covert mobilization.[1] Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council said that high-ranking Russian officials are trying to legitimize a prolonged war effort as the Third World War against the West, rather than the “special military operation” against Ukraine, as Russian President Vladimir Putin has hitherto framed Russia’s invasion.[2] ISW has no independent confirmation of Russian preparations for mobilization.

A column of Russia’s Topol intercontinental ballistic missile launchers rolls during a rehearsal of the Victory Day Parade , outside Moscow, on April 18, 2012. The parade will take place on the Red Square in Moscow on May 9 to commemorate the 1945 defeat of Nazi Germany. AFP PHOTO / KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV
Featured

Stores in occupied Melitopol and Volnovakha are beginning to transition to using the Russian ruble

Russian forces are setting conditions to establish permanent control over the areas of southern Ukraine they currently occupy, either as nominally independent “People’s Republics” or by annexing them to Russia. Russian sources reported that stores in occupied Melitopol and Volnovakha are beginning to transition to using the Russian ruble.[1] British Defense Intelligence reported that the ruble will be used in Kherson City starting on May 1 as part of a 4-month currency transition scheme enacted by the occupation administration.[2] These measures, which are not necessary or normal in military occupation administrations, indicate that Russian President Vladimir Putin likely intends to retain control over these areas and that his ambitions are not confined to Donbas.

Putin may announce a “general mobilization” of the Russian military on May 9th.

Western and Ukrainian sources claimed that Russian President Vladimir Putin may announce a “general mobilization” of the Russian military on May 9th. British Defense Minister Ben Wallace claimed that Putin may make this announcement, although Wallace admitted this was a personal opinion and not based on intelligence.[3] Advisor to the Ukrainian President Mikhail Podolyak amplified Wallace’s claims and stated that a general mobilization on May 9 would be consistent with the economic imperatives faced by Russia as a result of the invasion of Ukraine.iSW has no independent verification of these claims, which would not in any event generate large numbers of usable soldiers for many months.

no independent verification of these claims

The Kremlin likely seeks to leverage its partners in the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) to evade Western sanctions. The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that Russia is courting CSTO members to procure input goods and materials for dual-use technologies that Russia cannot directly purchase due to Western sanctions.[5] The GUR stated that this effort will increase CSTO members’ economic dependence on Russia and enable Russian sanction evasion by using third-party countries to re-export Russian products to international markets.[6] The GUR stated that the Russian Ulyanovsk Mechanical Plant is attempting to obtain German components needed for the production of Buk surface-to-air missile systems and Tunguska missiles via Kazakhstan. Western sanctions may need to target Russia’s partners in the CSTO and Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) customs union to prevent Russian sanctions evasion.

Featured

In covid 19 we could be witnessing. ..the greatest organized mass murder in the history of our world.

Vaccines etc – “Complicity”

The data suggests that we may currently be witnessing the greatest organized mass murder in the history of our world. The severity of this situation compels us to ask this critical question: will we rise to the defense of billions of innocent people? Or will we permit personal profit over justice, and be complicit? Networks of lawyers all over the world are preparing class-action lawsuits to prosecute all who are serving this criminal agenda. To all who have been complicit so far, we say: There is still time to turn and choose the side of truth. Please make the right choice.” (Global research)

VAERS data from the American CDC shows that as of September 17, 2021, already 726,963 people suffered adverse events, including stroke, heart failure, blood clots, brain disorders, convulsions, seizures, inflammations of brain & spinal cord, life-threatening allergic reactions, autoimmune diseases, arthritis, miscarriage, infertility, rapid-onset muscle weakness, deafness, blindness, narcolepsy, and cataplexy.

Besides the astronomical number of severe side effects, the CDC reports that 15,386 people died as a result of receiving the experimental injections.

However, a CDC healthcare fraud detection expert named Jane Doe investigated this and came to the shocking discovery that the number of deaths is at least five times higher than what the CDC is admitting. In fact, in her initial communications to professor in medicine Dr. Peter McCullough, this whistleblower said that the number of deaths is ten times higher. 

Featured

New “World war” could be ‘declared’ soon

Vladimir Putin may declare new world war in days, says UK defence secretary

British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace has said that he would not be surprised if Vladimir Putin declared a new world war and ordered the mass mobilisation of Russians.

Vladimir Putin could declare a new world war in the coming days, the UK defence secretary has warned.

Ben Wallace said that the Russian leader may start a “mass” mobilisation and use May Day to announce a war on the world’s “Nazis”.

Putin started the Russian invasion of its neighbour on February 24 saying that it was a special operation to rid Ukraine of Nazis.

Since then Ukrainian cities have been pummelled by shelling in a battle which government minister Liz Truss has said could go on for 10 years.

And in the face of the West providing money and armaments to Ukraine, Russia has referred to its nuclear capabilities in threats to not get involved. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that the “danger is serious” of a nuclear war.

Ben Wallace said that Putin could declare war on the world .Image: Anadolu Agency

Around 8,000 British Army troops are to take part in exercises across eastern Europe soon to combat Russian aggression in one of the largest deployments since the Cold War.

Mr Wallace said that Putin may use the May Day celebrations to declare a war

Mr Wallace said that Putin may use the May Day celebrations to declare a World war 

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/vladimir-putin-declare-new-world-26828251

Featured

Forex Japan

FX Daily: Moving to DEFCON2 on Japanese FX intervention

ING Economics (Holland)

   29 April 2022
FX Daily: Moving to DEFCON2 on Japanese FX intervention. Yesterday’s spike in USD/JPY through 130 prompted quite a reaction from Japan’s Ministry of Finance. FX intervention seems a lot closer now, but will only serve to stabilise and not reverse a macro-driven trend.

For today, the focus will be on European 1Q GDP and April CPI, plus some of the Fed’s preferred price gauges. We also have a Russian rate meeting

Source:

USD: Today’s Employment Cost Index will be key FX markets are slightly calmer today, helped by some stability in Chinese asset markets. The renminbi, a key agent in recent FX volatility, has firmed a little as China’s Politburo has promised to do more to support growth. The sharp rally in the whole USD/Asia FX complex over the last week had contributed to broad strength in the dollar, although this trend now may be due a pause.

Away from China’s commitment to support growth, we have seen both Japanese and Korean authorities express ‘extreme concern’ over recent weakness in their currencies and an implicit readiness to act. It feels like Japanese unilateral FX intervention is a lot closer – perhaps we are at DEFCON2 in terms of readiness – and we are now close to witnessing Japan’s first FX intervention in over a decade.

 Such intervention could probably see several billion dollars sold (typically at a European or US open). However, the reasons for USD/JPY trading above 130 are well documented and any correction, say, to the 127/128 area will see plenty of fresh dollar buyers emerging.


For today though, the dollar focus is squarely on US price data. We will see the March release of one of the Fed’s preferred price gauges – the PCE deflator. This is expected at a new cycle high of 6.7% year-on-year. Perhaps even more important is the quarterly Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, a key gauge of US productivity.

A strong rise in the ECI is expected at 1.1% quarter-on-quarter. Assuming that is seen, expect pricing for the Fed tightening cycle to stay firm. Currently, the market prices the Fed Funds rate at 2.88% by the end of the year and currently sees the terminal Fed funds rate at 3.15% next year.

The recent high in expectations was at 3.30%.DXY may be due some consolidation under 104 given that technical indicators are registering some very overbought readings.

Yet there will be lots of dollar buyers ready on dips and looking to position for a summer dollar rally as the Fed slams on the monetary brakes.
Featured

How Japan survived covid-19 | The BMJ

https://www.bmj.com/content/376/bmj.o778

The world’s third biggest economy seems to have emerged from the pandemic comparatively unscathed. Priy speaks to health workers who survived the frontlines about how, and at what cost

On 20 February 2020, the Diamond Princess cruise ship docked in Yokohama, 36 km south of the Japanese capital Tokyo, and turned into the world’s largest cluster of people infected with a new disease: covid-19.

Hospitals in Yokohama had trouble admitting all the passengers, especially since many of them were in severely ill, needing mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.

The biggest challenge, says Norio Ohmagari, who leads research at the National Centre for Global Health and Medicine in Tokyo, was the low number of available beds. “It was quite obvious that we could not accommodate all covid patients,” Ohmagari says. “The Tokyo governor requested private hospitals to accommodate them [70% of hospitals in Japan are privately run], but they were scared of this novel disease, with not much information, no vaccine, paucity of PPE [personal protective equipment], and no treatment.”

“A national health crisis sadly cannot be separated from politicisation,” says Kenji Shibuya, director of a covid vaccination medical centre in Soma city in Fukushima prefecture and research director at Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research. “For the countries that did well in managing the pandemic, the primary factor was their trust in the government. Unfortunately, that trust in the government and experts from the medical community was eroded in Japan.”

Japan recorded its first case of covid-19 in January 2020. Two years later, the world’s third biggest economy and 11th most populous has recorded five million cases and 23 633 deaths—far lower than many other high income countries. But the exact reasons for the island country’s low numbers (box 1), and the effectiveness of the government’s pandemic response, are still debated.

Box 1

Why did Japan’s covid-19 numbers remain relatively low?

Among the reasons cited are a public willingness to adhere to measures, as well as Japan’s early adoption of the “3Cs” (avoiding close contact, closed spaces, and close conversations)—built on the country’s traditional approach to infectious disease control—that anticipated what scientists now understand of the airborne nature of SARS-CoV-2 transmission.

In addition, facemasks were prevalent even before the pandemic, and most experts think a culture of politeness while travelling on public transport—such as distancing and a hesitancy to talk aloud on the phone—helped limit virus transmission, even as the country’s vast train and subway systems continued to be crowded during the peak hours. Japan’s low obesity rate has also been posited as a factor.

Winter 2020

The Japanese government declared its first “state of emergency” on 7 April 2020,3 which lasted in some form throughout the rest of the year. It was one of the first countries to close schools nationally (in February 2020) and it also closed borders to foreign visitors and limited entry for Japanese residents from abroad.

Though there was criticism of the government’s confusing messaging,4 Japan got through 2020 with just 239 000 officially confirmed cases and around 3500 deaths as the public largely complied with requests to work from home and refrain from travel and going out.

But December 2020 saw rising case numbers as new variants emerged. For the first time, Tokyo logged 10 000 cases in a month.5 Ohmagari remembers that ambulances were not able to secure hospital beds for their patients. At the time, rules stated that anyone who tested positive had to be admitted to hospital. Even though a considerable number of beds were allotted for covid-19 patients at the National Centre for Global Health and Medicine, it was not enough. Subsequently, the Tokyo metropolitan government ordered public hospitals to secure non-intensive care unit beds to accommodate covid-19 patients with moderate infection.

Ohmagari says that what happened was beyond anyone’s expectation. “[The authorities] did not know that to accommodate moderate to severe patients, the whole healthcare system had to undergo a change [in the rules] and adjust to new restrictions. We had to modify the patient care flow for non-covid patients, and that was quite complicated.”

Featured

Putin promises ‘lightning’ response to strategic threats

Putin promises ‘lightning’ response to strategic threats

Vladimir Putin has warned outside forces against interfering in the Ukrainian conflict, promising a ‘lightning-speed’ Russian response

Again the “stay out of this” warning.

Russia won’t hesitate to use ‘weapons that no other country’ possesses to defend itself

Featured

What are Russian speakers doing in a small strip of land 100 miles from Roumania’s border?

Currently, the Russian Federation holds an unknown number of soldiers in Transnistria, an unrecognized breakaway state internationally recognized as part of Moldova. This Russian military presence dates back to 1992, when the Soviet 14th Guards Army intervened in the Transnistria War in support of the Transnistrian separatist forces. Following the end of the war, which ended in a Russian-backed Transnistrian victory and in the de facto independence of the region, the Russian forces stayed in a purportedly peacekeeping mission and reorganized in 1995 into the Operational Group of Russian Forces (OGRF), part of which is currently guarding the Cobasna ammunition depot. Today, the Government of Moldova views the presence of these Russian troops as illegitimate and has called for their withdrawal and replacement by international forces. Russia however has opposed this. On 15 March 2022, the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe recognized Transnistria as a Moldovan territory occupied by Russia.[1]

How many Russian troops in Transnistria?

1,500 troops

Featured

Russians have encircled the Azov steelworks

About 4,000 Azov Battalion soldiers huddled in the underground structure within 20 kilometers of the steel plant: how Russia broke the situation…

Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been going on for more than 40 days. However, the remnants of the Azov battalion extremists entrenched in the steel factory, and about 4,000 people, are huddled in the underground structure of the steel factory that stretches for 15-20 kilometers. Then there’s nothing they can do.

About 4,000 Azov Battalion soldiers huddled in the underground structure within 20 kilometers of the steel camp.Azov camp extremists “Cunning Rabbit Three Caves”Some people say that this is easy, blocking the exit of the underground structure, they have nothing to eat or drink, they will come out naturally. The truth is not that simple.We have lived experience in a steel plant. The pipeline structure is too complicated, and we don’t know where there are exits. Unless we get the drawings of the original construction of the steel plant, people who are not familiar with the geography seem to have entered an underground labyrinth. . What’s more, the Ukrainian steel plant, when it was built, can be used to defend against war and Azov Battalion soldiers huddled in the underground structure . There may be well-trained NATO officials in the underground structure who are behind the scenes.It is reported that more than 20 NATO military commanders were besieged in the Azov steel plant, including Lieutenant General Roger Corutier , commander of the NATO Army Command. If the news is true, the Russian coalition may be in the steel plant network. From the perspective of the Ukrainian army sending helicopters to the Azov Steel Plant to evacuate fighters several times, there are indeed very important people in it: According to the latest battle report released by the Russian Ministry of Defense, on April 5, two more Mi-8 helicopters of the Ukrainian army trying to break into the city of Mariupol were shot down by the Russian coalition man-portable air defense missiles. Some people think that the Azov battalion itself is not under the control of the Ukrainian government. The Ukrainian government has no need to push the scarce Mi-8 helicopters into the fire pit in order to rescue the senior commander of the Azov battalion. important person.The Azov extremists have always committed all kinds of evils, killing innocent people indiscriminately. They also know that they will not end well, so they resist stubbornly, have strong fighting ability and firm will to fight. Coupled with the secret assistance of NATO, it is true that it will not be able to attack in a short However, the Russian ordinary soldiers responsible for the attack on the city of Mariupol are more optimistic about this.When asked how to get out the Ukrainian army hiding in the basement?A Russian soldier told reporters, “It would be better if they surrendered. But these people are not going to surrender. Rockets. . there is a lot of water. Submerge them, which is more or less human. No need for right away, give them a chance and let them swim out. Other methods I don’t even want to describe, like they might be hot & smoky . This It’s up to the military chemists to decide. But God will save us from going in the basement.”Although the odds of breaking through the siege were low, the Azov battalion at the Mariupol Steel Works was still waiting for help, and there were also a large number of civilians.In fact, the Russian army has nothing to do except surround it! Perhaps it was precisely because the warring parties in Mariupol were so much at a stalemate that the Russian army shrank its forces in the west, implemented a strategic shift, and concentrated its superior forces to deal with the remnants of the Azov battalion.The 35th and 36th armies and the 2nd army in eastern Sumy have all withdrawn to Belarus and Russia. At present, there is no sign of large-scale Russian military activities in northern Ukraine.However , the fierce fighting in the Ukrainian area continued. With the assistance of the Russian army, the militias in Donetsk and Luhansk have recaptured most of the land from the Ukrainian army, and the surrounding Mariupol .The battle for the city is drawing to a close, and the goal of de-Nazification by the Russian coalition is about to be achieved.About 4,000 Azov Battalion soldiers huddled in the underground structure within 20 kilometers of the steel plant: FAB-3000-M46 has been taken out and is on its way to MariupolFAB-3000-M46 , this one is specially designed for combating industrial facilities, dams, and underground structures. The mass of the bomb is 3000 kg and the explosive is 1400 kg. The Tu-22M3 long-range supersonic bomber is the only carrier of this designated munition. About 4,000 Azov Battalion soldiers huddled in the underground structure within 20 kilometers of the steel plant: how Russia broke the situation

Within a 100-meter radius of lethal damage, the glass for several kilometers around the shock wave must be shattered. In 1945, the Soviet Army had an airborne soldier injured a Panther A, and asked to see the self-propelled artillery regiment use the isu152 to play the Black Panther, and then the shock wave shattered the glass in several streets and was injured. Afterwards, the German recruits ran as fast as they could when they heard the sound of isu152’s cannon.Some netizens who are familiar with weapons said that the legacy of the former Soviet Union is equivalent to the big Chunlei (Booming Thunder) that we played when we were children. Epilogue

Burning, flooding, smoking, penetrating bombs… It seems that the Russian army chose bombing. Maybe this is the only way, maybe the best way. In short, the method of sitting outside and waiting is not advisable. The Russian army cannot afford to wait and cannot afford to spend it. Every day the war is delayed, the variables will increase. Pray for peace to come one day sooner!——The end ——ultimate American strategy!Dissolve the EU, retain NATO “Moscow” sinks, will Russia buy warships from china?

Featured

Russia changing their ‘field operation’ somewhat

April 26, 6:30 pm ET

Russian forces have adopted a sounder pattern of operational movement in eastern Ukraine, at least along the line from Izyum to Rubizhne. Russian troops are pushing down multiple roughly parallel roads within supporting distance of one another, allowing them to bring more combat power to bear than their previous practice had supported. Russian troops on this line are making better progress than any other Russian advances in this phase of the war. They are pushing from Izyum southwest toward Barvinkove and southeast toward Slovyansk. They are also pushing several columns west and south of Rubizhne, likely intending to encircle it and complete its capture. The Russian advances even in this area are proceeding methodically rather than rapidly, however, and it is not clear how far they will be able to drive or whether they will be able to encircle Ukrainian forces in large numbers.

Russian forces on the Izyum axis likely benefit from the absence of prepared Ukrainian defensive positions against attacks from the Kharkiv direction toward Donbas. Ukraine has prepared to defend the line of contact with Russian-occupied Donbas since 2014, and Russian troops continue to struggle to penetrate those prepared defenses—as shown by repeated Russian efforts to take Avdiivka, just north of Donetsk City, or to advance through Popasna, just beyond the original line of contact.

Russian troops continued to attack Ukrainian defenders in Mariupol, including in the Azovstal Plant, despite Russian President Vladimir Putin’s claims that there is no more fighting in the city. Ukrainian forces likely still hold important positions beyond the plant itself, and Russian forces continue to fight outside the plant, bomb the plant, and assault positions near the plant. Putin’s order not to chase Ukrainian defenders into the tunnels and catacombs of the facility evidently did not preclude continued efforts to secure at least the entire perimeter of the plant and likely also the important M14 highway that runs along it to the north and northwest.

Russia is staging false-flag attacks in Transnistria, Moldova, likely setting conditions for further actions on that front. The two motorized rifle battalions Russia has illegally maintained in Transnistria since the end of the Cold War are not likely sufficient to mount a credible attack on Odesa by themselves, nor are the Russians likely to be able to reinforce them enough to allow them to do so. They could support more limited attacks to the northwest of Odesa, possibly causing panic and creating psychological effects to benefit Russian operations in the south of Ukraine.

Russia may also seek to destabilize Moldova itself, however. Comments by the head of the Donetsk People’s Republic and other Russian officials and proxies raise the possibility that Putin might recognize the self-styled Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR) in Transnistria as he recognized the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics. The PMR could then ask for additional Russian protection, and Putin could attempt to send some additional forces or capabilities to Transnistria. Any such activities would greatly raise tensions and fears in Moldova and neighboring Romania, putting additional pressure on NATO, possibly giving Putin a cheap “win,” and distracting from Russia’s slog in eastern Ukraine.

Continued indications that Russian forces intend to hold referenda to establish “people’s republics” in occupied areas of southern Ukraine raise the possibility that Putin intends to unveil an array of new “independent” “people’s republics” as part of a Victory Day celebration. The forecast cone is wide, and there is as yet no solid basis to assess one path as much more likely than another. But the false-flag attacks and Russian and Russian proxy reactions to them are alarming, and it entices NATO and the West out to consider the most dangerous courses of action and prepare to meet them.

Key Takeaways

  • Russian forces continue to make slow but steady progress south from Izyum and northwest of Rubizhne, but Russian offensive operations elsewhere along the line in eastern Ukraine remain unsuccessful.
  • Fighting continues in Mariupol, where Ukrainian defenders apparently still hold positions beyond the Azovstal Plant.
  • Russia and/or Russian proxies have staged false-flag attacks in Russian-occupied Transnistria, possibly to threaten a (very likely unsuccessful) attack on Odesa, possibly to destabilize Moldova.

Supporting Effort #1—Kharkiv and Izyum: (Russian objective: Advance southeast to support Russian operations in Luhansk Oblast; defend ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to the Izyum axis)

Russian forces continued ground offensives south of Izyum in the directions of Barvinkove and Slovyansk.[12] The Ukrainian General Staff stated that elements of the 1st Guards Tank Army, 20th Combined Arms Army, 35th Combined Arms Army, and 68th Army Corps are making measured advances in the direction of Barvinkove, about 50 kilometers southwest of Izyum.[13] A Pro-Russian source claimed that Russian naval infantry units are operating in the direction of Slovyansk, about 50 kilometers southeast of Izyum.[14] The Pro-Russian source additionally claimed that Ukrainian defenders are holding Dovhenke, which is the last settlement in Kharkiv Oblast in the Slovyansk direction. The Izyum- Barvinkove and Izyum-Slovyansk advances are likely meant to drive toward the administrative borders of Donetsk in order to merge offensives south of Izyum with offensives on the territory of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR). Barvinkove and Slovyansk are on different roads leading south from Izyum.

The objective of the Russian advance toward Barvinkove is not immediately obvious, as it leads Russian troops further away from their comrades pushing on Slovyansk. The road continues southeast from Barvinkove to the Donetsk Oblast boundary, however, and it is possible that Russian forces from the Izyum axis are meant to take up positions along much of the boundary to support claims that Russia has “secured the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts” even if the Russians have not actually secured the entire oblast itself. These advances could also be intended to conduct a deep encirclement of Ukrainian forces to the east as well, although it is far from clear that the Russian troops assigned to this advance are strong enough to accomplish such a task.

Elements of the 6th Combined Arms Army and the Baltic and Northern Fleets maintained a partial blockade of Kharkiv City and continued shelling settlements around Kharkiv City and throughout Kharkiv Oblast on April 26.

Their new technique appears to work !
Featured

Covid that has bucked the established trend,and is prospering in the run up to summer?

Just a quickie…in the past month I have heard of what you might call a localised resurgence of COVID-19.I n my little activities groups London based (mainly church) there were a minimum of 12 cases of covid,and one a friend to the North.So I know about 6 of these people personally.But comes no one has questioned this return?Or is someone going about our country a little spay here and a little one there like in an aerosol?Covid if you remember was last known before the war conveniently started and the covid cases dwindling.London shut down the mask directive finally altho many still wear as a precaution.But I thought we had identified and recognised than in warmer weather covid cleared off.But here we have a batch of covid that has bucked the established trend,and is prospering in the run up to summer……how comes?

Mighty cv

Peter Caddick-Adams

Peter Caddick-Adams

+ Follow

Peter Caddick–Adams was born in London in 1960 and educated at Shrewsbury School, Sandhurst and Wolverhampton University, where he gained First Class Honours in War Studies; he received his PhD from Cranfield University. He worked in the House of Commons, then taught at Oxford and Birmingham Universities before being appointed Lecturer in Military and Security Studies at the UK Defence Academy in 1998, and Lecturer in Air Power Studies at RAF Halton since 2012. Concurrently, he pursued a second career in the UK Regular and Reserve Forces, was commissioned in 1979 and joined the Reserves in 1985. He has extensive experience of various war zones, including the Balkans, Iraq and Afghanistan. During 1996–7 he was the official NATO Historian in Bosnia, based in Sarajevo, and was also the UK Historian during the Iraq War of 2003, based in Qatar and Iraq, and has written extensively on the campaigns he witnessed, including Afghanistan. The author of six books, his latest, a new history of D-Day 1944 – Sand and Steel (Preface and Oxford University Press) – will be released in May 2019, in time for the 75th anniversary. His three previous works, Snow and Steel: The Battle of the Bulge 1944-45 (Preface & Oxford University Press, 2014), Monte Cassino: Ten Armies in Hell (Preface and Oxford University Press, 2012) & Monty and Rommel: Parallel Lives (Preface, 2011) were best sellers and Monte Cassino is now the basis for a movie for which he is the historical consultant.

%d bloggers like this: