Heathrow28 October 2020Latest news
Keeping people safe remains our top priority, we have invested in UK aviation’s most extensive array of COVID-secure technologies. New rapid testing technologies are already helping to open up overseas markets safely.
Demand forecast revised down
Passenger numbers are now forecast to be 22.6m in 2020 and 37.1m in 2021, compared to our June forecast of 29.2m in 2020 and 62.8m in 2021, and 2019 actuals of 81m. The reduction is caused by the second wave of COVID and slow progress on introducing testing by the UK government to reopen borders with “high risk” countries
UK cedes competitive advantage to European rivals
For the first time, Paris Charles de Gaulle has overtaken Heathrow as Europe’s largest airport, with Amsterdam Schiphol and Frankfurt close behind. All three continental rivals have implemented testing regimes. The UK Government has announced an intention to introduce testing for passengers from high risk countries by 1st December to help restart the UK economy .
Losses widen on significant passenger decline
Heathrow’s losses have widened to £1.5 billion in the first 9 months as passenger numbers in Q3 remained down over 84%. Q3 revenue fell 72% to £239 million and Q3 adjusted EBITDA fell to £37 million
Safeguarding the future – We acted quickly to reduce our monthly “cash burn” by over 30%, cutting at least £300 million of operating costs and cancelling or pausing over £650 million of capital projects. Further savings are planned, but we are protecting employment, offering all frontline colleagues a job with market-rate salaries guaranteed at or above the London Living Wage.
Heathrow finances remain robust
Liquidity at the end of September has been boosted further in October to £4.5bn. Cash reserves are sufficient for the next 12 months even under an extreme scenario with no revenue, and well into 2023 under our current forecast. Investor confidence remains strong with 94% of creditors agreeing a waiver on financial covenants until the end of 2021. We have maintained our Investment Grade credit rating status.
Seeking a regulatory adjustment, in line with the Q6 settlement
Heathrow is price regulated, with a return set not by the market but by the regulator based on assumptions with limited upside and limited downside. There was an explicit recognition in the Q6 settlement that it can be adjusted in the event of exceptional circumstances, which the CAA agrees has now occurred. We are seeking adjustment, in line with the settlement, which will keep future consumer prices down, incentivise investment to improve service and give a sustainable balance of risk and return.
Heathrow CEO John Holland-Kaye said:
“Britain is falling behind because we’ve been too slow to embrace passenger testing. European leaders acted quicker and now their economies are reaping the benefits. Paris has overtaken Heathrow as Europe’s largest airport for the first time ever, and Frankfurt and Amsterdam are quickly gaining ground. Let’s make Britain a winner again. Bringing in pre-departure COVID tests and partnering with our US allies to open a pilot airbridge to America will kickstart our economic recovery and put the UK back ahead of our European rivals.”
Britain is falling behind because we’ve been too slow to embrace passenger testing.